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Skeena, Alaska, CF Burkheimer, Olson, Teno, Danielsson, Guideline, Nextcast.
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Discussion Starter · #43 ·
Main problem is that a healthy salmon run = nets…
A general, outdated statement. Rain may mean 1 mm, 5 mm or 70 mm.

Prior to 2008 , exploitation rate of Sockeye was 70 %. After 2008 with run with 1.5 million range exploitation rate ( quote) is below 10%, around 2.2 million is 18-20%. The last time Sockeye run was 2 millions was in 2014, with 200 boats and 9 opening ( day time only).
In 2018, it was 5-6 opening with 30-50 boats only .........

An average age of gill-netter is 72.....and under 700 millions Pacific Recovery plan DFO initiated license/boat buy-back program . Today and tomorrow there are two openings for Sockeye, with severe restrictions ( soak time and net length, shorter net less by-ctach ) and observers on both sides...... NO fishing in mouth of Skeena. This type of restrictions were in the past only applied to early August openings.
In 2018, some gill-netters got tickets and arrested by DFO........


The old days of nets are long gone


BTW, there are no and will be no openings for Chinooks regardless of run size.
 

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Skeena, Alaska, CF Burkheimer, Olson, Teno, Danielsson, Guideline, Nextcast.
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Discussion Starter · #45 ·
Article in today's Lewiston Tribune:

"Snake River steelhead outlook: ho hum for now
Fisheries managers are unsure if the current ocean conditions that helped chinook and sockeye will boost return"

Snake River steelhead outlook: ho hum for now | Outdoors | lmtribune.com
“We are less than 5% through (the run) down at Bonneville, so we don’t really have much of an indication of how we are looking compared to the preseason forecast,” he said. “The counts at Bonneville to date are tracking about in line with the 10-year average, which would result in more steelhead than our preseason forecast.”

Obviously interviews to this article were mostly likely done a couple weeks ago, as the current total on Bonneville is 26% above 10-years, up average from in-line a couple weeks ago.

Othere places upstream from Bonevile are already recording up-tick in fish count:

Rectangle Slope Plot Font Parallel



Rectangle Slope Plot Font Parallel



Rectangle Slope Plot Font Parallel
 

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Looks like Chinook and Sockeye are above the 10 year average - double it in the case of Sockeye - but Steelhead and Coho are down.

For steelhead specifically, 78,659 have been counted at Bonneville (10YA - 113,322) of which 29,009 are 'wild' (10YA - 48,058). I think that's still better than last year though, and hopefully there will be a late surge somehow, someway.
 

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Over Lower Granite, 7,487 steelhead have been counted against a 10 year average of 9,340 - of which 3,006 wild against a 10YA of 4,529.

2,083 sockeye - 10YA of 699.
82,240 Chinook - 10YA of 58,714 (14,339/11,424 - wild/10YA).

So why are sockeye and Chinook doing so well, but steelhead and coho not so much?

On my last two steelhead trips I've caught a Chinook, seems odds are high for threepeat this fall.
 
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