[Irideus]

Definitely too early to predict 2022 run to Columbia system, however since 2017 when run really spiraled down, a trend in early June have been followed in the rest of summer

So far run is significantly better then disastrous run of 2021 and very poor in 2018-2020. Noticeable unclipped fish is better than 10 years average.
TOTAL for 2022 as of June, 7, 2022

 

[flytie09]

Good news so far.

 

[fishin4herbs]

This may be a dumb question, but is the "10 year" ; a) an average based on the counts of the past 10 years , b) a total count of the last 10 years, or c) the count from 10 years ago (2012)? It doesn't really specify.

 

[Irideus]

This link also inches daily number and daily average

Daily Adult Dam Counts

The Fish Passage Center (FPC) provides current and historic data on salmon and steelhead passage in the main stem Snake and Columbia river basins. Data from the Smolt Monitoring Program (SMP) is intended to provide the information basis for federal, state and tribal recommendations for fish...

www.fpc.org

I assume it is either 2010-2019 average or 2012-2021 average .

Definitely NOT 10 years ago.

from the link:


This graph compares the current year, last year and ten year average counts and will not work until there is data for the site selected.

 

[knotgr8]

Fingers Crossed!

 

[Irideus]

Annual Totals. I think unclipped fish number is included in the total ( Steelhead; wild + hatchery )

Pacific conditions ( surface temp, food abundance)


One of the more important food sources for young steelhead and smaller fish are copepods. Not all copepods are created equal. Northern copepods tend to be larger and fat-rich providing smaller fish important calories

In 2017-8 Pacific conditions were below normal. In 2019 were horrible ( super weak runs from N. California to Skeena/Nass in 2021). IN 2020 Pacific conditions improved noticeably and in 2021 were excellent. And so it is reasonable to assume that in 2022 would see some rebound, specially in 2 salt fish.
In Skeena, a larger smolts ( over 20 cm) can survive better, even in 2019 and many larger smolts returns for the first time after 3 years ( Kispiox, Babine, upper main Skeena).
So poor smolts to adult survival in 2019 does not necessary means low number of 3+ salt fish. Also some fish can skip first migration for spawning, if they have not enough fat. The most dominant factor is smolts survival in the first several months in the salt water.

 

[Jcflyfish]

We’ll know in the next month or so, won’t we. It’s been such a cool, wet spring. I can’t help but feel optimistic.

Jake

 

[Redside Fly]

I hope and pray that this will be a decent run this year. I wanna have a shot at them, before I leave for Texas at the end of August. My goal just one anysize on the spey rod with the one fly that matters.

 

[Pat AV]

Hopefully it is a coast wide trend, thanks for sharing some good news!

 

[BudCrist]

Hoping for good news. Have a late August trip booked


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[sinktip]

Better numbers than we last year and the year before. That said, the last ten years, of which the average is calculated, have had a number of the worst years on record. My point is our numerical expectations have diminished over the years. All that said, it is great to see the unclipped numbers at this level.

 

[Manistee Spey]

sockeye and kings are way up too, and further into the run. Based on what we are seeing with them I’m feeling optimistic!

 

[Irideus]

As of June 11, 2022.
Total ( hatchery + unclipped) patter is similar

 

[Irideus]

As of June 14, 2022.
hatchery fish pattern is similar

 

[Irideus]

So far the Grand Predator is not sending its trawlers toward the Northern Pacific and Bering Sea............

China's super trawlers are stripping the ocean bare as its hunger for seafood grows

'They will be back': How China's 'dark' fleets are plundering the world's oceans

When a vast fishing armada appeared outside the Galapagos Marine Reserve in South America, the world was again reminded of China's belligerent approach to fishing on the high seas.

www.abc.net.au

China's super trawlers are emptying the ocean to feed the country's insatiable appetite for seafood

China's huge fishing fleet is forced to go deeper into the ocean to meet the country's growing hunger for seafood, which accounts for a third of world consumption.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Irideus]

As of June 17

 

[Stumpy]

Keep your fingers crossed!

If I recall correctly for the Deschutes, Nothing until 7/15, and then opening up 10 days after 9,900 wild fish pass over Bonni. Then, there is a late, overwinter closure if there are low numbers over Sherar's ladder.

 

[Irideus]

The last few days has been a bit slower but still day and night compare to the last year

 

[Irideus]

June 22

 

[Irideus]

As of June 25